Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Trump and Hillary Virtually Tied as Clinton Campaign Continues to Falter

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a virtual tie one week after their first debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Clinton with 42% support and Trump with 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has inched back up to match his high of nine percent (9%), while Green Party nominee Jill Stein remains in last place with two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Yesterday, it was Clinton 43%, Trump 40%. Factoring in our +/- 2.5 margin of error, both candidates continue to hover around the 40% mark as they have for weeks now, looking for a breakaway moment to put some distance between them and their opponent. Some saw Clinton’s debate performance as that moment, and it did move her slightly ahead after trailing by five points the week before. But the race appears to be tightening again.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of voters now say they are certain how they will vote, and Clinton has a statistically insignificant 48% to 47% lead among this group. Among the voters who still may change their minds, it’s Trump 31%, Clinton 27%, Johnson 32% and Stein 10%.

The vice presidential candidates debate this evening, and we’ll tell you at 10:30 a.m. today how important voters consider that clash.

Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters.


at