Friday, October 30, 2020

Easy Money, Low Interest Rates to Last for Years

The COVID-19 pandemic has rocked the world and a historic amount of money printing has taken place all across the world.

This money has been dumped into the markets, given to individuals and used to help keep businesses afloat while the forced lockdowns were put into place, greatly reducing consumer spending in many parts of the world.

Many would argue that this money printing was required, others would disagree. Sadly hindsight is 2020 and we may never truly know what the repercussions of no lockdowns would have been.

However, there is one thing that is for certain in the coming days, months and years. 

The ramifications of our actions are far from over and the piper will be calling, the only question that remains is when?

Interest Rates to Remain at Historically Low Levels for Years to Come


Throughout the pandemic, most governments across the world lowered interest rates, a common tactic deployed by Central Bankers in a time of crisis, or economic recession.

However, rates were already low, as many countries never truly had a chance to raise them in the years following the 2008 economic collapse, knowing that if they did so, they would tank their economy once again and make them uncompetitive on the international markets.

Fast forward to 2020 and we have a new crisis, the likes of which the world has scarcely seen before and one in which rates were already at artificially depressed levels.

Many countries have taken to slashing their interest rates to near zero levels, or even negative rates, hoping that the ability to easily loan funds will help keep the economy churning along.

It is without a doubt, that the countries that were forced to lower rates following the 2008 collapse and now even more so following the COVID-19 pandemic, will not and cannot raise rates in the coming years, if not possibly even longer.

This belief has been confirmed today by the Bank of Canada, which has given banks the "low interest green light", at least until 2023.

As reported by the CBC;

"The Bank of Canada says it has no plans to change its benchmark interest rate until inflation gets back to two per cent and stays there, something it says isn't likely to happen until 2023.

The central bank said Wednesday it has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 0.25 per cent. The news was expected by economists, as although the economy is showing signs of recovering from the impact of COVID-19, things are still a long way from normal, so cheap lending will be needed for a long while yet."


The Bank of Canada knows what many other Central Bankers around the world know, that this economy is incredibly fragile and is going to suffer much more pain in the coming years, as irreparable damage has been done to many businesses over the course of 2020, some of which has not fully come to fruition.

In a recent statement, the Central Bank of Canada went into further detail, explaining their decision to keep rates at the historically low .25 percent level until at least 2023;

"With more than six months since the onset of the pandemic, the Bank has gained a better understanding of how containment measures and support programs affect the Canadian and global economies.

This, along with more information on medical developments related to COVID-19, allows the bank to now make a reasonable set of assumptions to underpin a base-case forecast."


The Central Bank of Canada, like many other government entities in the West, are highlighting the fact that a highly effective vaccine is still many years away and thus rolling lockdowns are likely to occur well into at least 2021, further damaging and hurting the economy.

Gold and Silver to Benefit from Money Printing and Low Interest Rates


Although gold and silver bullion have suffered from strong resistance in the past few months, after initially spiking much higher in the early days of the pandemic, I have little doubt that strong gains are yet to come.

(Chart source, goldprice.org)

A low interest rate and easy money environment that is rife with geopolitical uncertainty will create a rock solid bedrock of fundamentals for the precious metals market for years to come.

When this historic amount of fiat money and debt creation inevitably makes its way into the broader markets and as things eventually return to a new "normal", we are going to see monstrous inflation.

The risks are simply just too great to hold anything fiat based in my personal opinion, and this is exactly why I believe you are seeing alternative investments, such as collectibles skyrocketing to new highs, as people continue to pile money into anything tangible. 

Dollar cost averaging into precious metals in the coming days is a safe, prudent play that is sure to help mitigate the risk that is coming our way.

In Conclusion


Central bankers, governments, and anyone else with their finger on the pulse of the markets knows that we stand on a knife's edge, with even the slight breeze risking to send the economy crashing down once again.

You can rest assured that we have not seen the last of the stimulus programs, the last of the easy money policies and the last of the bailouts.

The ramifications of this year's lockdowns are yet to fully come to light and much rot remains within the system.

Gold and silver bullion will help mitigate these risks, while offering handsome rewards to those who act before the true damage boils to the surface.

Until then, stay safe and as always, keep stacking.

- Source, Nathan McDonald via the Sprott Money Blog